Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.000336 0.000378 0.000422 0.000474 0.000533 0.000598 0.000675
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.000266 0.000325 0.000396 0.000486 0.000599 0.000736 0.000916
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.000221 0.000288 0.000374 0.000491 0.000649 0.000856 0.001152
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.000182 0.000249 0.000339 0.000469 0.000656 0.000917 0.001313
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.000160 0.000229 0.000325 0.000472 0.000693 0.001019 0.001544
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.000148 0.000220 0.000325 0.000492 0.000757 0.001167 0.001864
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.000131 0.000201 0.000307 0.000482 0.000770 0.001237 0.002070
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.000114 0.000180 0.000282 0.000458 0.000758 0.001263 0.002204
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.000105 0.000171 0.000276 0.000463 0.000794 0.001373 0.002500
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.000101 0.000169 0.000281 0.000486 0.000862 0.001547 0.002940
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.000093 0.000158 0.000270 0.000480 0.000878 0.001628 0.003214
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.000087 0.000152 0.000265 0.000484 0.000913 0.001748 0.003584
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.000079 0.000142 0.000254 0.000476 0.000925 0.001830 0.003897
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.000074 0.000136 0.000249 0.000482 0.000966 0.001978 0.004384
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.000070 0.000130 0.000245 0.000486 0.001004 0.002124 0.004896
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.000063 0.000119 0.000229 0.000464 0.000984 0.002142 0.005108
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.000059 0.000115 0.000224 0.000466 0.001017 0.002284 0.005652
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.000057 0.000114 0.000228 0.000487 0.001094 0.002538 0.006536
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.000053 0.000107 0.000218 0.000476 0.001097 0.002616 0.006965
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.000048 0.000098 0.000204 0.000453 0.001066 0.002603 0.007138
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.000046 0.000095 0.000201 0.000458 0.001106 0.002780 0.007895
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 0.000045 0.000096 0.000206 0.000480 0.001192 0.003091 0.009123
2025-05-04 00:00:00+00:00 0.000042 0.000091 0.000200 0.000474 0.001204 0.003205 0.009765